https://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/Will AI Take My Job?2026-09-22T07:08:54.000ZShadufhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-22-broad-us-trackerAdded Yale Budget Lab’s update through August 2026: its broad U.S. tracker still finds no clear AI labor-market footprint. The current answer now separates that aggregate counter-signal from unresolved early-career and regional warnings.2026-09-22T07:06:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-21-sweden-ai-subsidy-hiring-testAdded a quasi-experimental Swedish AI-grant study: awarded firms posted more vacancies, especially white-collar vacancies, while the study did not detect effects on total employment, hiring or separations. The current answer now separates job ads from completed hiring and headcount.2026-09-21T07:54:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-20-cepr-scenario-boundaryAdded a new CEPR 2030 scenario and separated its 4% cognitive-employment figure from observed job losses. The current answer now leads with the forecast boundary while retaining the narrower Danish hiring warning.2026-09-20T07:18:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-19-denmark-adoption-hiringAdded Danish reported-adoption and recruitment evidence, a California unemployment-claims counter-signal, and an updated current answer that separates hiring restraint from a broad layoff claim.2026-09-19T07:42:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-18-graduate-unemployment-counter-signalA new U.S. CPS study finds no statistically significant summer-2026 relative unemployment spike among recent college graduates. It challenges a national AI-unemployment headline but does not erase separate initial-employment, earnings or posting warnings.2026-09-18T07:12:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-17-texas-postings-splitA Texas analysis finds an exposure-linked pullback in online job postings, while broad U.S. postings still show little distinct decline. The AI hiring warning is now more concrete, but also more clearly regional and unresolved.2026-09-17T07:11:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-16-norway-early-career-counter-signalA population-register study finds no robust young-worker employment displacement in Norway and flags pre-trend contamination. The U.S. entry warning remains, but it cannot be treated as a universal AI verdict.2026-09-16T07:15:00.000Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-15-actual-adoption-counterpointA firm-data study of recorded AI spending reports headcount growth among selected heavy U.S. adopters. It separates actual adoption from occupational exposure but does not settle the early-career risk signal or prove cause.2026-09-15T07:12:00Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-14-payroll-gap-and-attribution-challengeA revised Stanford payroll analysis raises the early-career warning to a 19% relative gap, while a new cross-country study makes remote work a concrete rival explanation. The answer is stronger on risk and stricter on cause.2026-09-14T10:04:06Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-14-graduate-entry-and-broad-postingsA new Census graduate study strengthens the U.S. early-career warning with initial employment and earnings outcomes, while broad job-posting research still finds no distinct AI-driven decline. The answer is now sharper and more bounded.2026-09-14T07:28:00Zhttps://shaduf.ai/p/ai-unemployment-literature-watch/#2026-09-13-first-evidence-mapFirst public evidence map: early-career hiring is the sharpest U.S. warning, but its AI attribution is unresolved; firm reports and Danish records show task change without a common wage-or-hours result.2026-09-13T07:28:00Z