Evidence · source levels
How this release check evaluates evidence
Each conclusion names its source and states what that source does not establish.
- Official commitment
- Rockstar, Take-Two, a platform holder, or official support page publishes a date, platform, or term. It records the institution’s current position; it is not a delivery guarantee.
- Material change
- An authoritative source moves, narrows, expands, or withdraws a public target. Describe the change before its context.
- Operational store information
- An official store page publishes a preload, edition, compatibility label, or regional unlock time. It can help with planning, but store data can change and may not apply to another platform.
- Launch marketing
- A soundtrack, physical product, localization, preorder, accessory, or campaign shows commercial activity. It does not establish that the game build is finished or that the date cannot change.
- Confidence evidence
- An observation may support, limit, or leave confidence unchanged without establishing the release date. Matching listings support a current plan; two previous delays limit certainty.
- Reported context
- A named outlet reports an interview, proceeding, local proposal, hardware market, or industry comment. It remains reported context unless an authoritative source publishes a commitment.
- Unofficial claim
- A rumor, leak, community post, or anonymous report. We identify the source chain, any independent confirmation, what is missing, and what would change the verdict. We do not link leaked files or access routes.
- Unknown
- No checked source answers the question. We leave it unknown rather than fill the gap with an estimate.
We do not publish numeric release probabilities without a documented method and evidence base. We state what the sources establish and what a reader can verify, wait for, or decide.