Next decision: December 9
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% on October 28. The December event displays below were accessed about 13:37 UTC October 31; access is not a venue quote time.
| Venue and contract | 25-basis-point hike | Hold / no change | Other shown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi KXFEDDECISION-26DEC · Chance headings | 70% | 30% | Hike >25bps 3% |
| Polymarket Fed Decision in December? · named rows | 71% | 28% | 50+ bps increase 2% |
| CME FedWatch · futures-implied | Unavailable | Unavailable | Live grid and quote time unreadable |
At the October 30 19:06 UTC check, the separate hike displays were 69% and 70%. A one-point difference between checks cannot show when or why prices moved. Do not add rounded rows or average venues. Inspect each venue’s full rules before using a price.